{"id":1867,"date":"2023-10-02T16:14:55","date_gmt":"2023-10-02T14:14:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/?p=1867"},"modified":"2025-05-09T15:02:18","modified_gmt":"2025-05-09T13:02:18","slug":"combien-y-a-t-il-dimmigres-et-de-descendants-directs-dimmigres-dans-les-prisons-francaises","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/2023\/10\/02\/combien-y-a-t-il-dimmigres-et-de-descendants-directs-dimmigres-dans-les-prisons-francaises\/","title":{"rendered":"Combien y a-t-il d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s et de descendants directs d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s dans les prisons fran\u00e7aises\u00a0?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Marc Vanguard diffuse sur Twitter des \u00e9l\u00e9ments de statistique mettant en rapport criminalit\u00e9 et immigration. Nous republions son travail sur les Effront\u00e9s dans l\u2019espoir que cela nourrisse chez le lecteur une r\u00e9flexion raisonnable et mesur\u00e9e, au lieu des r\u00e9actions \u00e9motionnelles si fr\u00e9quentes sur ce sujet. \u2014 TB<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vous \u00eates nombreux \u00e0 poser la question, et plusieurs th\u00e9ories circulent. Nous verrons dans ce billet que de nombreux \u00e9l\u00e9ments convergent sur un ordre de grandeur de ~70%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rappelons d&rsquo;abord les derniers chiffres du Minist\u00e8re de la Justice:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les \u00e9trangers repr\u00e9sentent 24,5% des d\u00e9tenus, contre 7% de la population en France.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Leur taux de d\u00e9tention est 4 fois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des Fran\u00e7ais.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Il est m\u00eame 5 fois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 pour les \u00e9trangers africains.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab11426&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab11426\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"705\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_01_les_etrangers_sont_sur_representes_dans_le_population_carcerale-1-1024x705.jpeg\" alt=\"Les \u00e9trangers sont tr\u00e8s nettement sur-repr\u00e9sent\u00e9s dans la population carc\u00e9rale fran\u00e7aise\" class=\"wp-image-1870\" title=\"Les \u00e9trangers sont tr\u00e8s nettement sur-repr\u00e9sent\u00e9s dans la population carc\u00e9rale fran\u00e7aise\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_01_les_etrangers_sont_sur_representes_dans_le_population_carcerale-1-1024x705.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_01_les_etrangers_sont_sur_representes_dans_le_population_carcerale-1-300x207.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_01_les_etrangers_sont_sur_representes_dans_le_population_carcerale-1-768x529.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_01_les_etrangers_sont_sur_representes_dans_le_population_carcerale-1.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Les \u00e9trangers sont sur-repr\u00e9sent\u00e9s dans la criminalit\u00e9, mais qu&rsquo;en est-il des descendants d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s&nbsp;? Ils sont autant voire plus sur-repr\u00e9sent\u00e9s que les immigr\u00e9s eux-m\u00eames, dans tous les pays occidentaux pour lesquels les chiffres sont accessibles. Exemple, la Su\u00e8de&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab11969&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab11969\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"705\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_02_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_en_suede-1024x705.jpeg\" alt=\"Su\u00e8de&nbsp;: le taux de criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d'immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens et ~30% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens\" class=\"wp-image-1871\" title=\"Su\u00e8de&nbsp;: le taux de criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d'immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens et ~30% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_02_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_en_suede-1024x705.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_02_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_en_suede-300x207.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_02_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_en_suede-768x529.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_02_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_en_suede.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00eame en neutralisant certains facteurs comme l&rsquo;\u00e2ge, les descendants d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s (extra-europ\u00e9ens notamment) ont tendance \u00e0 \u00eatre encore plus sur-repr\u00e9sent\u00e9s dans la criminalit\u00e9 et la d\u00e9linquance que les immigr\u00e9s de premi\u00e8re g\u00e9n\u00e9ration. Comme on le voit dans les donn\u00e9es danoises&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab11e0b&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab11e0b\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"712\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_03_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_au_danemark-1024x712.jpeg\" alt=\"Danemark&nbsp;: le taux de criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d'immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens et ~40% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens\" class=\"wp-image-1872\" title=\"Danemark&nbsp;: le taux de criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d'immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens et ~40% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_03_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_au_danemark-1024x712.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_03_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_au_danemark-300x209.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_03_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_au_danemark-768x534.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_03_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_au_danemark.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Aux Pays-Bas, des chercheurs montrent que les descendants directs d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens pr\u00e9sentent un taux de criminalit\u00e9 30% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens. Lui-m\u00eame trois fois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des N\u00e9erlandais autochtones&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab12292&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab12292\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"689\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_04_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_aux_pays_bas-1024x689.jpeg\" alt=\"Pays-bas&nbsp;: le taux de criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d'immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens est 30% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens\" class=\"wp-image-1873\" title=\"Pays-bas&nbsp;: le taux de criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d'immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens est 30% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_04_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_aux_pays_bas-1024x689.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_04_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_aux_pays_bas-300x202.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_04_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_aux_pays_bas-768x517.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_04_taux_de_criminalite_immigres_extra_europeens_aux_pays_bas.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Le ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne est bien connu aux \u00c9tats-Unis o\u00f9 les \u00e9trangers sont surtout issus d&rsquo;une immigration de travail. Les \u00e9trangers y ont des taux de criminalit\u00e9 inf\u00e9rieurs aux \u00ab&nbsp;autochtones&nbsp;\u00bb, mais pas leurs descendants. Un effet plus ou moins similaire joue peut-\u00eatre en Europe aussi. <em>[Dans le graphique ci-dessous, la cat\u00e9gorie \u00ab&nbsp;Native born&nbsp;\u00bb d\u00e9signe les Am\u00e9ricains blancs non-hispaniques \u2014 TB]<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab127be&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab127be\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"705\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_05_taux_de_criminalite_des_descendants_d_immigres_aux_etats_unis-1024x705.jpeg\" alt=\"\u00c9tats-Unis&nbsp;: le taux de criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d'immigr\u00e9s est 30% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s\" class=\"wp-image-1875\" title=\"\u00c9tats-Unis&nbsp;: le taux de criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d'immigr\u00e9s est 30% plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 que celui des immigr\u00e9s\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_05_taux_de_criminalite_des_descendants_d_immigres_aux_etats_unis-1024x705.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_05_taux_de_criminalite_des_descendants_d_immigres_aux_etats_unis-300x207.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_05_taux_de_criminalite_des_descendants_d_immigres_aux_etats_unis-768x529.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_05_taux_de_criminalite_des_descendants_d_immigres_aux_etats_unis.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 partir de ces donn\u00e9es, on peut donc raisonnablement supposer qu&rsquo;en France le taux d&rsquo;incarc\u00e9ration des descendants directs d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s se situe en \u00e9cart de -10% \u00e0 +30% de celui des \u00e9trangers. Sauf s&rsquo;il y a une \u00ab&nbsp;exception fran\u00e7aise&nbsp;\u00bb \u00e0 la criminalit\u00e9 des descendants d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le taux de d\u00e9tention des immigr\u00e9s ayant acquis la nationalit\u00e9 (surtout par naturalisation) est une hypoth\u00e8se plus d\u00e9licate qui requiert une fourchette encore plus large. Disons 50% \u00e0 0% d&rsquo;\u00e9cart par rapport aux \u00e9trangers (le casier judiciaire ne doit pas obligatoirement \u00eatre vierge pour \u00eatre naturalis\u00e9).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 partir de ces donn\u00e9es, on peut estimer une fourchette large du pourcentage d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s et de descendants directs d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s dans nos prisons fran\u00e7aises&nbsp;: de 60% \u00e0 80%. Je vous fournis tous les d\u00e9tails du calcul en fin de billet, si vous souhaitez le refaire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab12cf8&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab12cf8\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"706\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_06_immigres_et_descendants_d_immigres_parmi_les_detenus_en_france-1024x706.jpeg\" alt=\"Les immigr\u00e9s et leurs descendants directs repr\u00e9sentent vraisemblablement 60 \u00e0 80\u00b0% des d\u00e9tenus en France\" class=\"wp-image-1877\" title=\"Les immigr\u00e9s et leurs descendants directs repr\u00e9sentent vraisemblablement 60 \u00e0 80\u00b0% des d\u00e9tenus en France\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_06_immigres_et_descendants_d_immigres_parmi_les_detenus_en_france-1024x706.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_06_immigres_et_descendants_d_immigres_parmi_les_detenus_en_france-300x207.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_06_immigres_et_descendants_d_immigres_parmi_les_detenus_en_france-768x529.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_06_immigres_et_descendants_d_immigres_parmi_les_detenus_en_france.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Cette estimation de 60-80% est coh\u00e9rente avec un certain nombre de sources. Le Monde relayait en 2000 une \u00e9tude qui montrait que les deux tiers des mineurs jug\u00e9s en Is\u00e8re pour faits graves avaient un p\u00e8re n\u00e9 \u00e0 l&rsquo;\u00e9tranger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab1322d&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab1322d\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"439\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_07_deux_tiers_des_mineurs_juges_pere_etranger-1024x439.jpeg\" alt=\"Les deux tiers des mineurs jug\u00e9s en Is\u00e8re pour faits graves entre 1985 et 2000 avaient un p\u00e8re n\u00e9 \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger\" class=\"wp-image-1879\" title=\"Les deux tiers des mineurs jug\u00e9s en Is\u00e8re pour faits graves entre 1985 et 2000 avaient un p\u00e8re n\u00e9 \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_07_deux_tiers_des_mineurs_juges_pere_etranger-1024x439.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_07_deux_tiers_des_mineurs_juges_pere_etranger-300x129.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_07_deux_tiers_des_mineurs_juges_pere_etranger-768x330.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_07_deux_tiers_des_mineurs_juges_pere_etranger.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Une enqu\u00eate du Point de juin 2004 r\u00e9v\u00e9lait que 60 \u00e0 70% des noms r\u00e9pertori\u00e9s dans les synth\u00e8ses de la Direction centrale de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 publique \u00e9taient alors \u00e0 consonance \u00e9trang\u00e8re. M\u00e9thodologie toujours questionnable, mais r\u00e9sultats coh\u00e9rents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab13751&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab13751\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"438\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_08_criminalite_noms_a_consonnance_etrangere-1024x438.jpeg\" alt=\"60 \u00e0 70% des noms r\u00e9pertori\u00e9s par la DCSP et la DCPJ sont \u00e0 consonance \u00e9trang\u00e8re\" class=\"wp-image-1880\" title=\"60 \u00e0 70% des noms r\u00e9pertori\u00e9s par la DCSP et la DCPJ sont \u00e0 consonance \u00e9trang\u00e8re\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_08_criminalite_noms_a_consonnance_etrangere-1024x438.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_08_criminalite_noms_a_consonnance_etrangere-300x128.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_08_criminalite_noms_a_consonnance_etrangere-768x328.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_08_criminalite_noms_a_consonnance_etrangere.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Le criminologue Xavier Raufer d\u00e9clarait en juin 2019 \u00e0 Atlantico que \u00ab&nbsp;la crise criminelle dans la r\u00e9gion parisienne est \u00e0 80% sans doute le fait d&rsquo;\u00e9trangers, migrants, mineurs isol\u00e9s, jeunes issus de l&rsquo;immigration africaine&nbsp;\u00bb. Simple avis d&rsquo;expert, mais \u00e0 nouveau convergeant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab13c84&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab13c84\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"433\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_09_criminalite_etrangere_en_region_parisienne-1024x433.jpeg\" alt=\"La crise criminelle dans la r\u00e9gion parisienne serait \u00e0 80% le fait d'\u00e9trangers, migrants, mineurs isol\u00e9s et jeunes issus de l'immigration africaine\" class=\"wp-image-1881\" title=\"La crise criminelle dans la r\u00e9gion parisienne serait \u00e0 80% le fait d'\u00e9trangers, migrants, mineurs isol\u00e9s et jeunes issus de l'immigration africaine\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_09_criminalite_etrangere_en_region_parisienne-1024x433.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_09_criminalite_etrangere_en_region_parisienne-300x127.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_09_criminalite_etrangere_en_region_parisienne-768x325.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_09_criminalite_etrangere_en_region_parisienne.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>L&rsquo;estimation de 60 \u00e0 80% d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s et descendants directs d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s dans les prisons fran\u00e7aises semble donc coh\u00e9rente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bien entendu, tous les immigr\u00e9s de premi\u00e8re et deuxi\u00e8me g\u00e9n\u00e9ration ne sont pas pour autant des d\u00e9linquants, loin de l\u00e0. Et ils n&rsquo;ont pas invent\u00e9 l&rsquo;ins\u00e9curit\u00e9. De nombreux facteurs peuvent <a href=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/2023\/09\/10\/peut-on-expliquer-la-sur-criminalite-des-populations-immigrees-en-europe\/\">expliquer la sur-criminalit\u00e9 des immigr\u00e9s<\/a>, plusieurs pistes sont avanc\u00e9es, notamment socio-d\u00e9mographiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si vous souhaitez refaire par vous-m\u00eames le calcul de la fourchette de 60 \u00e0 80%, voici un visuel \u00e0 la fois simple et d\u00e9taill\u00e9 qui pourra vous aider en vous donnant&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Les donn\u00e9es d&rsquo;entr\u00e9e et leurs sources.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Les op\u00e9rations \u00e0 effectuer.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69f177ab14277&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69f177ab14277\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"706\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_10_criminalite_etrangere_en_prison_detail_estimation-1024x706.jpeg\" alt=\"Combien d'immigr\u00e9s et de descendants d'immigr\u00e9s dans les prisons&nbsp;? D\u00e9tails de l'estimation\" class=\"wp-image-1882\" title=\"Combien d'immigr\u00e9s et de descendants d'immigr\u00e9s dans les prisons&nbsp;? D\u00e9tails de l'estimation\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_10_criminalite_etrangere_en_prison_detail_estimation-1024x706.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_10_criminalite_etrangere_en_prison_detail_estimation-300x207.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_10_criminalite_etrangere_en_prison_detail_estimation-768x529.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/04_10_criminalite_etrangere_en_prison_detail_estimation.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans une Europe o\u00f9 les descendants d&rsquo;immigr\u00e9s extra-europ\u00e9ens sont encore plus sur-repr\u00e9sent\u00e9s dans la criminalit\u00e9 que leurs parents, certains pensent encore qu&rsquo;il n&rsquo;y a pas de probl\u00e8me d&rsquo;assimilation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans une France o\u00f9 les immigr\u00e9s et leurs descendants peuplent \u00e0 60-80% les prisons, nous accueillons pourtant 300&nbsp;000 immigr\u00e9s l\u00e9gaux par an. Une autre politique migratoire est possible. Ferme et responsable, associ\u00e9e \u00e0 une justice plus efficace, elle est d\u00e9sormais urgente.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Marc Vanguard diffuse sur Twitter des \u00e9l\u00e9ments de statistique mettant en rapport criminalit\u00e9 et immigration. Nous republions son travail sur les Effront\u00e9s dans l\u2019espoir que cela nourrisse chez le lecteur une r\u00e9flexion raisonnable et mesur\u00e9e, au lieu des r\u00e9actions \u00e9motionnelles si fr\u00e9quentes sur ce sujet. \u2014 TB Vous \u00eates nombreux&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"excerpt-readmore\" href=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/2023\/10\/02\/combien-y-a-t-il-dimmigres-et-de-descendants-directs-dimmigres-dans-les-prisons-francaises\/\">Read More<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1884,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"twitterCardType":"","cardImageID":0,"cardImage":"","cardTitle":"","cardDesc":"","cardImageAlt":"","cardPlayer":"","cardPlayerWidth":0,"cardPlayerHeight":0,"cardPlayerStream":"","cardPlayerCodec":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[38,37],"class_list":["post-1867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-faits","tag-criminalite","tag-marc-vanguard","odd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1867","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1867"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1867\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3002,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1867\/revisions\/3002"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1884"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1867"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1867"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1867"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}