{"id":3247,"date":"2025-10-03T17:15:05","date_gmt":"2025-10-03T15:15:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/?p=3247"},"modified":"2025-11-08T15:32:09","modified_gmt":"2025-11-08T14:32:09","slug":"immigration-et-recidive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/2025\/10\/03\/immigration-et-recidive\/","title":{"rendered":"Immigration et r\u00e9cidive"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Marc Vanguard diffuse sur X (ex-Twitter) des \u00e9l\u00e9ments de statistique sur l\u2019immigration. Nous republions son travail sur les Effront\u00e9s dans l\u2019espoir que cela nourrisse chez le lecteur une r\u00e9flexion raisonnable et mesur\u00e9e, au lieu des r\u00e9actions \u00e9motionnelles si fr\u00e9quentes sur ce sujet. \u2014 TB<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Deux enjeux majeurs de l&rsquo;ins\u00e9curit\u00e9 en France<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Le meurtre de Philippine il y a 1 an et le profil du suspect Taha O. mettent en lumi\u00e8re deux probl\u00e8mes fondamentaux&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L&rsquo;immigration incontr\u00f4l\u00e9e, notamment les OQTF<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le poids des r\u00e9cidivistes dans la criminalit\u00e9<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Les chiffres chocs&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Plus de <strong>90%<\/strong> des \u00e9trangers \u00ab&nbsp;oblig\u00e9s de quitter le territoire fran\u00e7ais&nbsp;\u00bb (OQTF) restent en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 sur le territoire.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Le taux d&rsquo;ex\u00e9cution des OQTF s&rsquo;est effondr\u00e9 depuis 2012, alors qu&rsquo;il n&rsquo;\u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 que de <strong>22%<\/strong> \u00e0 l&rsquo;\u00e9poque.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ce taux stagne aux alentours de <strong>7%<\/strong> depuis 2020.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69df238af01ed&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69df238af01ed\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_01_plus_de_90_pour_cent_des_oqtf_ne_sont_pas_executees-1024x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"Plus de 90% des OQTF ne sont pas ex\u00e9cut\u00e9es\" class=\"wp-image-3248\" title=\"Plus de 90% des OQTF ne sont pas ex\u00e9cut\u00e9es\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_01_plus_de_90_pour_cent_des_oqtf_ne_sont_pas_executees-1024x1024.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_01_plus_de_90_pour_cent_des_oqtf_ne_sont_pas_executees-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_01_plus_de_90_pour_cent_des_oqtf_ne_sont_pas_executees-150x150.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_01_plus_de_90_pour_cent_des_oqtf_ne_sont_pas_executees-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_01_plus_de_90_pour_cent_des_oqtf_ne_sont_pas_executees.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Au total, ce sont plus d&rsquo;<strong>un million<\/strong> d&rsquo;OQTF qui n&rsquo;ont pas \u00e9t\u00e9 ex\u00e9cut\u00e9es depuis 2012. C&rsquo;est l&rsquo;\u00e9quivalent des populations de Toulouse, Bordeaux et Lille r\u00e9unies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69df238af0615&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69df238af0615\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_02_de_2012_a_2023_plus_d_un_million_d_oqtf_n_ont_pas_ete_executees-1024x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"De 2012 \u00e0 2023, plus d'un million d'OQTF n'ont pas \u00e9t\u00e9 ex\u00e9cut\u00e9es\" class=\"wp-image-3250\" title=\"De 2012 \u00e0 2023, plus d'un million d'OQTF n'ont pas \u00e9t\u00e9 ex\u00e9cut\u00e9es\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_02_de_2012_a_2023_plus_d_un_million_d_oqtf_n_ont_pas_ete_executees-1024x1024.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_02_de_2012_a_2023_plus_d_un_million_d_oqtf_n_ont_pas_ete_executees-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_02_de_2012_a_2023_plus_d_un_million_d_oqtf_n_ont_pas_ete_executees-150x150.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_02_de_2012_a_2023_plus_d_un_million_d_oqtf_n_ont_pas_ete_executees-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_02_de_2012_a_2023_plus_d_un_million_d_oqtf_n_ont_pas_ete_executees.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Une personne peut faire l&rsquo;objet de plusieurs OQTF, il n&rsquo;y a pas d&rsquo;\u00e9quivalence stricte entre le nombre d&rsquo;OQTF et de personnes ayant fait l&rsquo;objet d&rsquo;une OQTF.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Au-del\u00e0 de la simple \u00ab&nbsp;obligation de quitter le territoire&nbsp;\u00bb, certains \u00e9trangers font l&rsquo;objet d&rsquo;un \u00ab&nbsp;\u00e9loignement forc\u00e9&nbsp;\u00bb, c&rsquo;est-\u00e0-dire une expulsion accompagn\u00e9e par les forces de l&rsquo;ordre. C&rsquo;\u00e9tait le cas de Taha O., mais il n&rsquo;a pas \u00e9t\u00e9 expuls\u00e9. \u00c9tait-il une exception&nbsp;? Non. La majorit\u00e9 des \u00ab&nbsp;retours forc\u00e9s&nbsp;\u00bb apr\u00e8s un placement en centre de r\u00e9tention administrative ne sont pas ex\u00e9cut\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69df238af096f&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69df238af096f\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_03_la_majorite_des_retours_forces_apres_placement_en_cra_ne_sont_pas_executes-1024x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"Pr\u00e8s de 60% des retours forc\u00e9s ne sont pas ex\u00e9cut\u00e9s\" class=\"wp-image-3251\" title=\"Pr\u00e8s de 60% des retours forc\u00e9s ne sont pas ex\u00e9cut\u00e9s\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_03_la_majorite_des_retours_forces_apres_placement_en_cra_ne_sont_pas_executes-1024x1024.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_03_la_majorite_des_retours_forces_apres_placement_en_cra_ne_sont_pas_executes-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_03_la_majorite_des_retours_forces_apres_placement_en_cra_ne_sont_pas_executes-150x150.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_03_la_majorite_des_retours_forces_apres_placement_en_cra_ne_sont_pas_executes-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_03_la_majorite_des_retours_forces_apres_placement_en_cra_ne_sont_pas_executes.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>L&rsquo;expulsion rat\u00e9e de Taha O. n&rsquo;est donc pas une anecdote. C&rsquo;est un sympt\u00f4me r\u00e9v\u00e9lateur d&rsquo;un v\u00e9ritable probl\u00e8me structurel, auquel il est urgent de trouver des solutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Un autre sujet majeur est mis en avant par le drame de Philippine&nbsp;: le fl\u00e9au des r\u00e9cidivistes. Plus de <strong>40%<\/strong> des auteurs de crimes et d\u00e9lits sont des r\u00e9cidivistes ou r\u00e9it\u00e9rants. On n&rsquo;est pas tr\u00e8s loin du \u00ab&nbsp;toujours les m\u00eames&nbsp;\u00bb. Pourtant, il n&rsquo;en a pas toujours \u00e9t\u00e9 ainsi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69df238af0cc6&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69df238af0cc6\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_04_plus_de_40_pour_cent_des_condamnes_sont_recidivistes_ou_reiterants-1024x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"Plus de 40% des condamn\u00e9s sont r\u00e9cidivistes ou r\u00e9it\u00e9rants\" class=\"wp-image-3252\" title=\"Plus de 40% des condamn\u00e9s sont r\u00e9cidivistes ou r\u00e9it\u00e9rants\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_04_plus_de_40_pour_cent_des_condamnes_sont_recidivistes_ou_reiterants-1024x1024.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_04_plus_de_40_pour_cent_des_condamnes_sont_recidivistes_ou_reiterants-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_04_plus_de_40_pour_cent_des_condamnes_sont_recidivistes_ou_reiterants-150x150.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_04_plus_de_40_pour_cent_des_condamnes_sont_recidivistes_ou_reiterants-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_04_plus_de_40_pour_cent_des_condamnes_sont_recidivistes_ou_reiterants.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>En effet, le taux de r\u00e9cidivistes explose. Alors qu&rsquo;il \u00e9tait d&rsquo;environ <strong>2%<\/strong> en 1990, il a \u00e9t\u00e9 multipli\u00e9 par 9 et atteint d\u00e9sormais <strong>18%<\/strong> !<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69df238af1013&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69df238af1013\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_05_le_taux_de_recidivistes_explose_depuis_30_ans-1024x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"Le taux de r\u00e9cidivistes explose depuis 30 ans\" class=\"wp-image-3253\" title=\"Le taux de r\u00e9cidivistes explose depuis 30 ans\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_05_le_taux_de_recidivistes_explose_depuis_30_ans-1024x1024.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_05_le_taux_de_recidivistes_explose_depuis_30_ans-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_05_le_taux_de_recidivistes_explose_depuis_30_ans-150x150.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_05_le_taux_de_recidivistes_explose_depuis_30_ans-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_05_le_taux_de_recidivistes_explose_depuis_30_ans.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Petite parenth\u00e8se&nbsp;: Les r\u00e9cidivistes au sens strict sont des personnes qui commettent un crime ou d\u00e9lit de m\u00eame nature dans les 5 ans apr\u00e8s une premi\u00e8re infraction. Les r\u00e9it\u00e9rants, idem mais pas forc\u00e9ment une infraction de la m\u00eame nature.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les r\u00e9cidivistes \/ r\u00e9it\u00e9rants sont un v\u00e9ritable fl\u00e9au. Pour mieux s&rsquo;en rendre compte, voici le r\u00e9sultat d&rsquo;une \u00e9tude faite sur trois d\u00e9cennies de donn\u00e9es judiciaires en Su\u00e8de.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69df238af1388&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69df238af1388\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_06_une_poignee_de_recidivistes_sont_responsables_d_une_large_part_des_crimes_et_delits-1024x1024.jpeg\" alt=\"Une poign\u00e9e de r\u00e9cidivistes et r\u00e9it\u00e9rants sont responsables d'une large part des crimes et d\u00e9lits\" class=\"wp-image-3254\" title=\"Une poign\u00e9e de r\u00e9cidivistes et r\u00e9it\u00e9rants sont responsables d'une large part des crimes et d\u00e9lits\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_06_une_poignee_de_recidivistes_sont_responsables_d_une_large_part_des_crimes_et_delits-1024x1024.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_06_une_poignee_de_recidivistes_sont_responsables_d_une_large_part_des_crimes_et_delits-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_06_une_poignee_de_recidivistes_sont_responsables_d_une_large_part_des_crimes_et_delits-150x150.jpeg 150w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_06_une_poignee_de_recidivistes_sont_responsables_d_une_large_part_des_crimes_et_delits-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_06_une_poignee_de_recidivistes_sont_responsables_d_une_large_part_des_crimes_et_delits.jpeg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Je me permets d&rsquo;insister sur ce point, car il me semble essentiel&nbsp;: <strong>1%<\/strong> de la population est responsable de plus de <strong>60%<\/strong> des violences. Et au sein m\u00eame de ce 1% (les petites barres bleues et rouges), un tout petit groupe de \u00ab&nbsp;super-multi-r\u00e9it\u00e9rants&nbsp;\u00bb se d\u00e9tache fortement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;69df238af1732&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"69df238af1732\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"824\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_07_repartition_des_condamnations_pour_crimes_violents-1024x824.jpg\" alt=\"R\u00e9partition des condamnations pour crimes violents par centiles en Su\u00e8de\" class=\"wp-image-3255\" title=\"R\u00e9partition des condamnations pour crimes violents par centiles en Su\u00e8de\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_07_repartition_des_condamnations_pour_crimes_violents-1024x824.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_07_repartition_des_condamnations_pour_crimes_violents-300x242.jpg 300w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_07_repartition_des_condamnations_pour_crimes_violents-768x618.jpg 768w, https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/26_07_repartition_des_condamnations_pour_crimes_violents.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Agrandir\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>La hausse du nombre de r\u00e9cidivistes et r\u00e9it\u00e9rants en France est donc un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne tr\u00e8s pr\u00e9occupant. D&rsquo;autant plus qu&rsquo;on sait pertinemment le danger que ces personnes repr\u00e9sentent. Il est n\u00e9cessaire de mettre en place les politiques qui permettront&nbsp;:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>D&rsquo;identifier les personnes \u00e0 risque de r\u00e9cidive<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>De pr\u00e9venir les risques de r\u00e9cidive<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>De prot\u00e9ger la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 des r\u00e9cidivistes<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>L&rsquo;application des OQTF et la lutte contre la r\u00e9cidive sont deux axes fondamentaux qui doivent guider nos politiques. Pour mettre en avant ce sujet, pensez \u00e0 partager massivement ces chiffres.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Marc Vanguard diffuse sur X (ex-Twitter) des \u00e9l\u00e9ments de statistique sur l\u2019immigration. Nous republions son travail sur les Effront\u00e9s dans l\u2019espoir que cela nourrisse chez le lecteur une r\u00e9flexion raisonnable et mesur\u00e9e, au lieu des r\u00e9actions \u00e9motionnelles si fr\u00e9quentes sur ce sujet. \u2014 TB Deux enjeux majeurs de l&rsquo;ins\u00e9curit\u00e9 en&hellip;<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"excerpt-readmore\" href=\"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/2025\/10\/03\/immigration-et-recidive\/\">Read More<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3256,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"twitterCardType":"","cardImageID":0,"cardImage":"","cardTitle":"","cardDesc":"","cardImageAlt":"","cardPlayer":"","cardPlayerWidth":0,"cardPlayerHeight":0,"cardPlayerStream":"","cardPlayerCodec":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[38,39,37],"class_list":["post-3247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-faits","tag-criminalite","tag-immigration","tag-marc-vanguard","odd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3247"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3247\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3338,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3247\/revisions\/3338"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3256"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leseffrontes.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}